Tropical cyclone contribution to extreme rainfall over southwest Pacific Island nations     

Deo  Anil  Chand  Savin S.  Ramsay  Hamish  Holbrook  Neil J.  McGree  Simon  Magee  Andrew  Bell  Samuel  Titimaea  Mulipola  Haruhiru  Alick  Malsale  Philip  Mulitalo  Silipa  Daphne  Arieta  Prakash  Bipen  Vainikolo  Vaiola  Koshiba  Shirley 《Climate Dynamics》2021,56(11):3967-3993

Southwest Pacific nations are among some of the worst impacted and most vulnerable globally in terms of tropical cyclone (TC)-induced flooding and accompanying risks. This study objectively quantifies the fractional contribution of TCs to extreme rainfall (hereafter, TC contributions) in the context of climate variability and change. We show that TC contributions to extreme rainfall are substantially enhanced during active phases of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and by El Niño conditions (particularly over the eastern southwest Pacific region); this enhancement is primarily attributed to increased TC activity during these event periods. There are also indications of increasing intensities of TC-induced extreme rainfall events over the past few decades. A key part of this work involves development of sophisticated Bayesian regression models for individual island nations in order to better understand the synergistic relationships between TC-induced extreme rainfall and combinations of various climatic drivers that modulate the relationship. Such models are found to be very useful for not only assessing probabilities of TC- and non-TC induced extreme rainfall events but also evaluating probabilities of extreme rainfall for cases with different underlying climatic conditions. For example, TC-induced extreme rainfall probability over Samoa can vary from ~ 95 to ~ 75% during a La Niña period, if it coincides with an active or inactive phase of the MJO, and can be reduced to ~ 30% during a combination of El Niño period and inactive phase of the MJO. Several other such cases have been assessed for different island nations, providing information that have potentially important implications for planning and preparing for TC risks in vulnerable Pacific Island nations.

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Implications of inter-storey-isolation (ISI) on seismic fragility,loss and resilience of buildings subjected to near fault ground motions     

Saha  Arijit  Mishra  Sudib Kumar 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2022,20(2):899-939

Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering - Seismic fragility, loss and resilience provide a rational basis for decision making in new construction/retrofitting. The inter-storey-isolation (ISI) is a...  相似文献   

Analysis of dry and wet climate characteristics at Uttarakhand (India) using effective drought index     

Malik  Anurag  Kumar  Anil  Kisi  Ozgur  Khan  Najeebullah  Salih  Sinan Q.  Yaseen  Zaher Mundher 《Natural Hazards》2021,105(2):1643-1662

Natural Hazards - Drought is a complex natural disaster that adversely affects human life and the ecosystem. A variety of drought indexes are available for monitoring meteorological drought events....  相似文献   

Determination of Suitable Pillar Size for Protecting Gas Well Drilled Through a Longwall Mining Abutment Pillar Using Numerical Modelling Approach: A Case Study     

Bali  Bonaventura Alves Mangu  Mishra  Brijes 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2021,39(2):1329-1347

Gas well drilled through longwall mining abutment pillar could potentially face instability issue due to the strata deformation following longwall panel extraction. Therefore, it is imperative to adequately design the pillar size of a longwall mining in order to ensure the stability of the gas well penetrated longwall mining abutment pillar. In this paper, the determination of suitable pillar size for protecting gas well subjected to longwall mining operation was investigated. Two scenarios of longwall gateroad system including the three and four entry system with varying pillar sizes were assessed using numerical modelling approach. The results of this study indicate that the pillar geometry plays an important role on the vertical gas well stability. In addressing the suitable pillar size for the given case study considering three entry system, the suitable chain pillar and abutment pillar size were found to be 80 ft (24.4 m) wide by 120 ft (36.6 m) length and 104 ft (31.7 m) wide by 120 ft (36.6 m) length rib to rib, respectively. Whereas, if four entry system is used, the suitable chain pillar size is 48 ft (14.6) wide by 120 ft (36.6 m) length and the abutment pillar size is 104 ft (31.7 m) wide by 120 ft (36.6 m) length rib to rib. The proposed numerical modelling procedure presented in this paper can be a viable alternative and applied to other similar projects in order to determine an optimal pillar size for protecting gas well in longwall mining area.

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A multiwavelength view of a classical T Tauri star CV Cha     

Jeewan Chandra Pandey  Subhajeet Karmakar  Arti Joshi  Saurabh Sharma  Shashi Bhushan Pandey  Anil Kumar Pandey 《天文和天体物理学研究(英文版)》2019,(1)

Using long-term optical, ultraviolet(UV) and X-ray data, we present a study of a classical T Tauri star CV Cha. The V-band light curve obtained from the All Sky Automated Survey(ASAS) shows short as well as long-term variability. The short-term variability could be due to rotational modulation of CV Cha. We derive the rotational period of 3.714 ± 0.001 d for CV Cha. UV light curves obtained from Swift also show the variations. X-ray light curves from XMM-Newton and Swift do not show any significant short as well as long-term variability. However, the light curve from Chandra appears to be variable, which could be due to the emergence of flaring activities. X-ray spectra from all observations are explained well by the single temperature plasma of 0.95 keV with X-ray luminosity of 1030.4erg s-1in the 0.5–7.5 keV energy band. It appears that variability in optical and UV bands could be due to the presence of both hot and cool spots on the surface, while X-ray emission is dominated by magnetic processes.  相似文献   

Long‐term hydrologic simulation using SCS‐CN‐based improved soil moisture accounting procedure     

Dilip G. Durbude  Manoj K. Jain  Surendra K. Mishra 《水文研究》2011,25(4):561-579

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Correction to: Application of 1D and 2D hydrodynamic modeling to study glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) and its impact on a hydropower station in Central Himalaya     

Sattar  Ashim  Goswami  Ajanta  Kulkarni  Anil V. 《Natural Hazards》2019,98(2):817-817

Natural Hazards - The article was published with the citation “Worni et al. (2012)”. The author group of the article would like readers to know that this information should instead...  相似文献   

Forbush Decrease: A New Perspective with Classification     

Anil Raghav  Zubair Shaikh  Ankush Bhaskar  Gauri Datar  Geeta Vichare 《Solar physics》2017,292(8):99

Sudden short-duration decreases in cosmic ray flux, known as Forbush decreases (FDs), are mainly caused by interplanetary disturbances. A generally accepted view is that the first step of an FD is caused by a shock sheath and the second step is due to the magnetic cloud (MC) of the interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME). This simplistic picture does not consider several physical aspects, such as whether the complete shock sheath or MC (or only part of these) contributes to the decrease or the effect of internal structure within the shock-sheath region or MC. We present an analysis of 16 large (\({\geq}\,8 \%\)) FD events and the associated ICMEs, a majority of which show multiple steps in the FD profile. We propose a reclassification of FD events according to the number of steps observed in their respective profiles and according to the physical origin of these steps. This study determines that 13 out of 16 major events (\({\sim}\,81\%\)) can be explained completely or partially on the basis of the classic FD model. However, it cannot explain all the steps observed in these events. Our analysis clearly indicates that not only broad regions (shock sheath and MC), but also localized structures within the shock sheath and MC have a significant role in influencing the FD profile. The detailed analysis in the present work is expected to contribute toward a better understanding of the relationship between FD and ICME parameters.  相似文献   

Early In-orbit Performance of Scanning Sky Monitor Onboard AstroSat     

M. C. Ramadevi  B. T. Ravishankar  N. Sitaramamurthy  G. Meena  Brajpal Singh  Anand Jain  Reena Yadav  Anil Agarwal  V. Chandra Babu  Kumar  Ankur Kushwaha  S. Vaishali  Nirmal Kumar Iyer  Anuj Nandi  Girish V.  Vivek Kumar Agarwal  S. Seetha  Dipankar Bhattacharya  K. Balaji  Manoj Kumar  Prashanth Kulshresta 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2017,38(2):32

We report the in-orbit performance of Scanning Sky Monitor (SSM) onboard AstroSat. The SSM operates in the energy range 2.5 to 10 keV and scans the sky to detect and locate transient X-ray sources. This information of any interesting phenomenon in the X-ray sky as observed by SSM is provided to the astronomical community for follow-up observations. Following the launch of AstroSat on 28th September, 2015, SSM was commissioned on October 12th, 2015. The first power ON of the instrument was with the standard X-ray source, Crab in the field-of-view. The first orbit data revealed the basic expected performance of one of the detectors of SSM, SSM1. Following this in the subsequent orbits, the other detectors were also powered ON to find them perform in good health. Quick checks of the data from the first few orbits revealed that the instrument performed with the expected angular resolution of 12’ \(\times \) 2.5\(^\circ \) and effective area in the energy range of interest. This paper discusses the instrument aspects along with few on-board results immediately after power ON.  相似文献   

Geochemistry of Rohtas Limestone from Vindhyan Supergroup,Central India: Evidences of detrital input from felsic source   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Shinjana Sen  Meenal Mishra 《Geochemistry International》2015,53(12):1107-1122

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